A recent study reveals that 88 percent of Somali citizens favor electing their president through a direct one-person, one-vote system, signaling strong public support for electoral reform.

Conducted between May and June 2026 by Somali Public Agenda in partnership with the Somali Dialogue Platform, the survey included 928 respondents from Mogadishu and the capitals of five Federal Member States: Dhusamareb, Kismayo, Garowe, Jowhar, and Baidoa.

Balancing Democracy and Stability

While there is a clear preference for direct elections, many Somalis prioritize maintaining peace and political stability during the transition. The survey found that concerns over security and avoiding renewed conflict heavily influence public attitudes toward democratic reforms.

When asked about leadership selection criteria, 92 percent supported choosing government officials based on merit rather than equal clan representation, underscoring a desire to transcend clan-based politics.

Divided Views on Transition Timing

The timing of Somalia's political transition remains contentious, with 52 percent supporting adherence to the scheduled electoral timetable and 48 percent favoring extensions. This narrow margin reflects ongoing disagreements among political actors over constitutional amendments and election sequencing.

Trust and Communication Key to Electoral Acceptance

The study highlights that public confidence in institutions and the involvement of independent organizations are crucial for legitimizing election results. Civil society groups are seen as vital in fostering trust, indicating that citizens expect more than just political institutions to ensure credible elections.

Furthermore, respondents emphasized the need for greater transparency from political leaders, particularly regarding security and counterterrorism efforts, which remain central to Somalia’s political discourse.

Looking Ahead

The findings suggest that while Somalis broadly support democratic participation, they seek an electoral process that safeguards peace and addresses concerns about legitimacy and inclusion. The challenge for Somalia’s leaders will be to design elections that reflect public demand for direct voting while preventing political instability.