Swiss Poll International has released a new survey evaluating voter preferences in the Bahati parliamentary constituency ahead of the 2027 General Election. The survey, conducted among 3,563 registered voters, shows incumbent MP Irene Njoki Mrembo holding a significant lead over her competitors.
The poll was carried out with a margin of error of +/- 3.0% and a 95% confidence level, reflecting robust statistical reliability.
Survey Results
- Irene Njoki Mrembo: 42.4% (1,511 votes)
- Mary Justus Mannabay: 22.2% (791 votes)
- Wahome Jambo Kenya: 17.6% (628 votes)
- Njenga wa Waithera: 8.0% (284 votes)
- Mwangi Ngumo: 7.3% (259 votes)
- Undecided voters: 2.5% (90 respondents)
The results indicate a 20.2 percentage point lead for Mrembo over her closest rival, Mary Justus Mannabay, suggesting a strong position for the incumbent at this stage of the electoral cycle. However, the undecided voters and those supporting lower-ranked candidates could still influence the final outcome as the election approaches.
Context
Bahati Constituency, located in Nakuru County, has traditionally been a competitive seat. The 2027 race is expected to attract considerable attention with multiple candidates already positioning themselves for the contest.
Swiss Poll International, the organization behind the survey, specializes in polling, research, analytics, and strategy across Kenya in the lead-up to the 2027 elections. More information about their work can be found at swisspollint.com.
